Are the Mariners bad?

Overview

6 / 10 on the Bad-O-Meter™

Too close to call.

Score breakdown

  • Recent form
    Shaky2.7 / 4.5 pts (45% weight)
  • Season record
    Rough1.8 / 3.0 pts (30% weight)
  • Outlook
    Shaky1.3 / 2.5 pts (25% weight) · ▼0.1 from last update
  • Injury drag+0.2 pt+0.2 pt penalty
Last 10 games
4-6 (Fun diff -3)
Record
19-22(46.3%)L2
Sog-O-Meter™
2 / 10(+0.1 pts)
Playoff probability
calm down - it's literally May 11

Division & AL West

Division record
8-8 (vs AL West only)
Standing
3rd in AL West · 2.5 GB · WC4 (0.5 GB)

AL West standings

TeamW-LWLPctGB
Athletics21-19 · .5252119.525-
Rangers19-21 · .4751921.4752.0
Mariners (Mariners)19-22 · .4631922.4632.5
Angels16-25 · .3901625.3905.5
Astros16-25 · .3901625.3905.5

Last 10 Games

DateOppRResult
2026-05-10@ Chicago White Sox1-2L
2026-05-09@ Chicago White Sox1-6L
2026-05-08@ Chicago White Sox12-8W
2026-05-06vs Atlanta Braves3-1W
2026-05-05vs Atlanta Braves2-3L
2026-05-04vs Atlanta Braves5-4W
2026-05-03vs Kansas City Royals1-4L
2026-05-02vs Kansas City Royals2-3L
2026-05-01vs Kansas City Royals6-7L
2026-04-29@ Minnesota Twins5-3W

Rankings & Next Game

ERA3.7808th in MLB
WHIP1.2308th in MLB
K's34515th in MLB
AVG.22927th in MLB
OPS.69720th in MLB
Runs16724th in MLB
@ Houston AstrosMonday, May 11· 5:10 PM PDTAway

Probable starters

SEAGeorge Kirby4-2 · ERA 2.94 · WHIP 1.10
HOUPeter Lambert2-2 · ERA 2.42 · WHIP 1.16
📺FS1📺Mariners.TV📺FS1📺Space City Home Network

Upcoming Games – Should I Go?

Fan mode
GameWin %Wx / °FPromoGo?Tix
Friday, May 156:40 PMSan Diego Padres. Friday, May 15 6:40 PM
48.1%
48°
Drizzle · 48°F at first pitch · 42% precip chance
Hello Kitty® Clear Crossbody Bag · First 20,000 fans
SeatGeek
Saturday, May 164:15 PMSan Diego Padres. Saturday, May 16 4:15 PM
48.1%
53°
Drizzle · 53°F at first pitch · 46% precip chance
Military Cap · First 10,000 fans
SeatGeek
Sunday, May 174:20 PMSan Diego Padres. Sunday, May 17 4:20 PM
48.1%
62°
Mainly clear / partly cloudy · 62°F at first pitch · 7% precip chance
Vedder Cup
SeatGeek
Monday, May 186:40 PMChicago White Sox. Monday, May 18 6:40 PM
51.9%
56°
Drizzle · 56°F at first pitch · 10% precip chance
Josh Naylor Bobblehead · First 10,000 fans
SeatGeek
Tuesday, May 196:40 PMChicago White Sox. Tuesday, May 19 6:40 PM
51.9%
53°
Mainly clear / partly cloudy · 53°F at first pitch · 8% precip chance
Josh Naylor Bobblehead · First 10,000 fans
SeatGeek

Should I go? emoji (1–10 from win probability, weather, and promos)

  • 1–3: Catch it on TV.
  • 4–5: Mixed bag - not a home run.
  • 6–7: Decent night out at the ballpark.
  • 8–10: Strong pull: nicer weather or extras.

Weather: Open-Meteo. Tix: SeatGeek search links. Promos: SeatGeek event data.

Hot / Cold

Batters

AVG and OPS over the last 10 games vs baseline. Δ column and recent value are green when trending better, red when trending worse.

Heating up

NameLast 10ΔSeason
Connor JoeAVG.273+.033.240
OPS.860+.099.761
J.P. CrawfordAVG.250+.046.204
OPS.900+.202.698
Josh NaylorAVG.350+.095.255
OPS.856+.156.700
Julio RodríguezAVG.317+.045.272
OPS1.007+.238.769
Rob RefsnyderAVG.190+.070.120
OPS.551+.118.433

Cooling off

NameLast 10ΔSeason
Brendan DonovanAVG.194-.079.273
OPS.559-.290.850
Cal RaleighAVG.050-.111.161
OPS.314-.259.573
Cole YoungAVG.200-.059.259
OPS.568-.145.713
Dominic CanzoneAVG.167-.086.253
OPS.508-.274.782
Luke RaleyAVG.160-.093.253
OPS.712-.152.864

Starting pitchers

ERA, WHIP, and K/9 over the recent window (starts for rotation, last outings for the pen) vs baseline. Δ and recent values are green when trending better, red when trending worse.

Heating up

No clear hot streaks right now.

Cooling off

NameLast 3ΔSeason
Bryan WooERA7.80+3.784.02
WHIP1.27+0.271.00
K/97.2-0.17.3
Luis CastilloERA9.00+2.436.57
WHIP1.47-0.151.62
K/98.4-0.38.7

Relief pitchers

ERA, WHIP, and K/9 over the recent window (starts for rotation, last outings for the pen) vs baseline. Δ and recent values are green when trending better, red when trending worse.

Heating up

No clear hot streaks right now.

Cooling off

NameLast 10ΔSeason
Andrés MuñozERA8.00+2.006.00
WHIP1.44+0.041.40
K/916.0+1.015.0
Eduard BazardoERA3.86+1.452.41
WHIP1.29+0.051.23
K/95.8-1.06.8

Sog-O-Meter™

Sog-O-Meter™2 / 10

9 players on IL· 3.3 combined WAR out

PlayerPosILYTD WARthis seasonWAR2025Impact1–10
Bryce MillerPInjured 15-Day0.00.01 / 10
Carlos VargasPInjured 60-Day
Gabe SpeierPInjured 15-Day0.11.74 / 10
Logan EvansPInjured 60-Day
Matt BrashPInjured 15-Day0.30.83 / 10
Miles Mastrobuoni3BInjured 60-Day0.00.32 / 10
Patrick Wisdom1BInjured 10-Day
Victor RoblesRFInjured 10-Day
Will Wilson3BInjured 10-Day0.10.01 / 10

IL injuries are dragging the Bad-O-Meter down by 0.1 pts

Historical Comparisons

The best 2026 Mariner looks like…

Batter

Jay Buhner

Jay Buhner

The Bone · 1988–2001

.253 AVG · .839 OPS

Raley: .253 AVG · .864 OPS

Luke Raley

Starter

Hisashi Iwakuma

Hisashi Iwakuma

Kuma · 2012–2017

3.42 ERA · 1.09 WHIP

Kirby: 2.94 ERA · 1.10 WHIP

George Kirby

YearGameThru dateFinal
2025L1-922-1790-72
2024L1-821-1985-77
2023No game18-1988-74
2022L2-414-1890-72
2021L4-618-1890-72
Best this date: 26-9 (2001)Worst this date: 10-24 (1977)

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Updated 5/11/26, 12:27 PM PT