Are the Mariners bad?

Overview

6 / 10 on the Bad-O-Meter™

Too close to call.

Score breakdown

  • Recent form
    Rough2.8 / 4.5 pts (45% weight)
  • Season record
    Shaky1.5 / 3.0 pts (30% weight)
  • Outlook
    Decent0.6 / 2.5 pts (25% weight) · ▼0.4 from last update
  • Injury drag+0.2 pt+0.2 pt penalty
Last 10 games
4-6 (Fun diff -17)
Record
42-42(50.0%)L1
Sog-O-Meter™
3 / 10(+0.2 pts)
Playoff probability
calm down - it's literally June 28

Division & AL West

Division record
14-9 (vs AL West only)
Standing
1st in AL West

AL West standings

TeamW-LWLPctGB
Mariners (Mariners)42-42 · .5004242.500-
Rangers41-42 · .4944142.4940.5
Astros41-44 · .4824144.4821.5
Athletics40-43 · .4824043.4821.5
Angels35-49 · .4173549.4177.0

Last 10 Games

DateOppRResult
2026-06-27@ Cleveland Guardians3-4L
2026-06-26@ Cleveland Guardians3-1W
2026-06-25@ Pittsburgh Pirates1-5L
2026-06-24@ Pittsburgh Pirates1-11L
2026-06-23@ Pittsburgh Pirates3-2W
2026-06-21vs Boston Red Sox3-1W
2026-06-20vs Boston Red Sox1-5L
2026-06-19vs Boston Red Sox2-6L
2026-06-18vs Baltimore Orioles3-0W
2026-06-17vs Baltimore Orioles3-5L

Rankings & Next Game

ERA3.6705th in MLB
WHIP1.1803rd in MLB
K's7426th in MLB
AVG.23126th in MLB
OPS.69426th in MLB
Runs34024th in MLB
@ Cleveland GuardiansSunday, June 28· 10:40 AM PDTAway

Probable starters

SEAEmerson Hancock5-4 · ERA 3.50 · WHIP 1.04
CLEGavin Williams9-4 · ERA 3.81 · WHIP 1.17
📺Guardians.TV Presented by Progressive📺Mariners.TV

Upcoming Games – Should I Go?

Fan mode
GameWin %Wx / °FPromoGo?Tix
Monday, June 296:40 PMLos Angeles Angels. Monday, June 29 6:40 PM
65.6%
66°
Clear · 66°F at first pitch · 6% precip chance
Cal Raleigh POP! Collectible · First 10,000 fans
SeatGeek
Tuesday, June 306:40 PMLos Angeles Angels. Tuesday, June 30 6:40 PM
58.3%
69°
Mainly clear / partly cloudy · 69°F at first pitch · 0% precip chance
Cal Raleigh POP! Collectible · First 10,000 fans
SeatGeek
Thursday, July 26:40 PMLos Angeles Angels. Thursday, July 2 6:40 PM
58.3%
65°
Mainly clear / partly cloudy · 65°F at first pitch · 10% precip chance
Cal Raleigh POP! Collectible · First 10,000 fans
SeatGeek
Friday, July 37:10 PMToronto Blue Jays. Friday, July 3 7:10 PM
56.4%
71°
Clear · 71°F at first pitch · 17% precip chance
Fireworks Night
SeatGeek
Saturday, July 41:10 PMToronto Blue Jays. Saturday, July 4 1:10 PM
56.4%
78°
Clear · 78°F at first pitch · 5% precip chance
Patriotic Bucket Hat · First 10,000 fans
SeatGeek

Should I go? emoji (1–10 from win probability, weather, and promos)

  • 1–3: Catch it on TV.
  • 4–5: Mixed bag - not a home run.
  • 6–7: Decent night out at the ballpark.
  • 8–10: Strong pull: nicer weather or extras.

Weather: Open-Meteo. Tix: SeatGeek search links. Promos: SeatGeek event data.

Hot / Cold

Batters

AVG and OPS over the last 10 games vs baseline. Δ column and recent value are green when trending better, red when trending worse.

Heating up

No clear hot streaks right now.

Cooling off

NameLast 10ΔSeason
Cole YoungAVG.182-.067.248
OPS.583-.090.673
Colt EmersonAVG.111-.089.200
OPS.472-.267.739
Dominic CanzoneAVG.226-.049.275
OPS.785-.110.895
J.P. CrawfordAVG.216-.008.225
OPS.473-.243.716
Luke RaleyAVG.160-.078.238
OPS.450-.338.788

Starting pitchers

ERA, WHIP, and K/9 over the recent window (starts for rotation, last outings for the pen) vs baseline. Δ and recent values are green when trending better, red when trending worse.

Heating up

NameLast 3ΔSeason
Luis CastilloERA2.08-2.854.93
WHIP0.98-0.381.36
K/96.7-1.88.6

Cooling off

NameLast 3ΔSeason
Bryan WooERA6.75+2.494.26
WHIP1.25+0.211.04
K/99.6+0.78.9
Emerson HancockERA7.53+4.033.50
WHIP1.53+0.491.04
K/98.2-0.48.6

Relief pitchers

ERA, WHIP, and K/9 over the recent window (starts for rotation, last outings for the pen) vs baseline. Δ and recent values are green when trending better, red when trending worse.

Heating up

NameLast 10ΔSeason
Gabe SpeierERA0.00-1.801.80
WHIP0.39-0.711.10
K/98.2-0.38.5

Cooling off

NameLast 10ΔSeason
José A. FerrerERA5.40+2.832.57
WHIP1.68+0.371.31
K/96.5-1.07.5

Sog-O-Meter™

Sog-O-Meter™3 / 10

6 players on IL· 4.7 combined WAR out

PlayerPosILYTD WARthis seasonWAR2025Impact1–10
Brendan Donovan3BInjured 10-Day0.62.97 / 10
Carlos VargasPInjured 60-Day
Cooper CriswellPInjured 15-Day0.10.01 / 10
Logan EvansPInjured 60-Day
Matt BrashPInjured 15-Day0.30.83 / 10
Will Wilson3BInjured 60-Day0.10.01 / 10

IL injuries are dragging the Bad-O-Meter down by 0.2 pts

Historical Comparisons

The best 2026 Mariner looks like…

Batter

Nelson Cruz

Nelson Cruz

The Cruzbomb · 2015–2019

.274 AVG · .882 OPS

Canzone: .275 AVG · .895 OPS

Dominic Canzone

Starter

Hisashi Iwakuma

Hisashi Iwakuma

Kuma · 2012–2017

3.42 ERA · 1.09 WHIP

Miller: 1.97 ERA · 0.72 WHIP

Bryce Miller

YearGameThru dateFinal
2025L2-342-4090-72
2024W3-247-3785-77
2023L1-438-4188-74
2022W2-035-4190-72
2021No game42-3890-72
Best this date: 56-21 (2001)Worst this date: 26-50 (1978)

Not affiliated with MLB, SeatGeek, the Mariners, The Odds API, or MLB Stats API.

Updated 6/28/26, 12:27 PM PT